Bayesian Solutions for the Factor Zoo: We Just Ran Two Quadrillion Models

活動時間:11月26日16:00 – 17:00

活動地點:Virtual Meeting through XYLink (小魚易連)

活動演講人➾: Svetlana Bryzgalova

活動內容

Topic

Bayesian Solutions for the Factor Zoo: We Just Ran Two Quadrillion Models


Speaker

Svetlana Bryzgalova

Assistant Professor of Finance, London Business School


Abstract

We propose a novel framework for analyzing linear asset pricing models: simple, robust, and applicable to high dimensional problems. For a (potentially misspecified) standalone model, it provides reliable risk premia estimates of both tradable and nontradable factors, and detects those weakly identified. For competing factors and (possibly non-nested) models, the method automatically selects the best specification – if a dominant one exists – or provides a model averaging, if there is no clear winner given the data. We analyze 2.25 quadrillion models generated by a large set of existing factors, and gain novel insights on the empirical drivers of asset returns.



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